The Art of Uncertainty review: Top statistician David Spiegelhalter on how to deal with uncertainty

by ARKANSAS DIGITAL NEWS


USA. Nevada. Las Vegas. From 'Common Sense'. 1998.

You may seek to beat the slots, but that’s down to luck’s complexities

Martin Parr/Magnum Photos

The Art of Uncertainty
David Spiegelhalter (Pelican (UK, out now); W. W. Norton (US, 4 March 2025))

I am not a twin, but I share a birthday with my sister, who is three years older than me. When I tell people, I normally get one of two reactions: either a lewd joke about how nine months earlier must have been a special date for our parents, or a “what are the chances?”

In my ignorance, I have always assumed it was simply…



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